Free Premium Pick with Analysis for Wednesday July 21st

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The Kansas City Royals and Milwaukee Brewers wrap up their two-game interleague set Wednesday afternoon at American Family Field. Righty Brad Keller will get the nod for the Royals. He is 6-9 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.76 WHIP across 95 IP in 19 starts.  However, he has gone 0-1 with a 1.93 ERA across 14 innings in two July starts.  Left-hander Eric Lauer will step to the mound for the Brewers. He is 3-4 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.33 WHIP across 56 1/3 IP spanning nine starts and three relief appearances. Lauer has recorded three straight quality starts and has lowered his ERA from 5.21 to 3.83 as a result of the excellent performances, yielding just 2 earned runs and 11 hits across the past 18 1/3 innings.  The Brewers rank 21st in the league in runs scored at home while the Royals own the 3rd worst runs averaged on the road this season.  If we break it down to the first five innings, we are looking at Milwaukee scoring the 3rd least amount of runs at home (2.16) and the Royals are only averaging 2 runs in the first 5 innings on the road.  The Brewcrew, also, rank 29th in wOBA, have the worst batting average and have the lowest amount of hits on the season in their first 5 innings.  Additionally, Kansas City owns a 24th ranked weighted on base average this season in the first five innings.  We would play full game but I don’t trust the Royals bullpen to cooperate.  Take F5 Under 5 runs

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