September 27th NFL Free Play

915

I took a step back in both CFB and the NFL over the weekend, but I’ve still been profitable in each this season(+9.81u in CFB, +1.35u in NFL). My premium plays have gone 20-10 and netted my members +16.35u over the last month. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*NFL(1u): Cowboys -3(-120) vs Eagles–7:15 PM CT

The Cowboys enter their first home game of the season fresh off a road win against a very good Chargers team. Through 2 games, Dak Prescott looks like he hasn’t missed a beat; he’s completed 76.5% of his passes against TB and LAC. The run game improved mightily from Week 1 to Week 2, which is necessary to balance out their dangerous passing attack. Dallas will present a tougher test than Atlanta and San Fran did to this Eagles defense, and quite frankly, I’m not very high on this Eagles team. If you take away a single 91 yard completion to Quez Watkins last week, Jalen Hurts was just 11/22 with 99 yards against the 49ers defense. While the Cowboys’ defense still has its questions, they’ve been able to neutralize the run through 2 games. Tonight, I expect them to key in on Myles Sanders and make Jalen Hurts beat them with his arm and mind. Perhaps Hurts finds his rhythm throughout the season, but I have no trust that he can go back-and-forth with an efficient and proven QB like Dak Prescott. It’s also worth noting that this is Jalen Hurts’ first career road start with a full stadium. I think this line should be closer to 5 or 5.5, so I see quite a bit of value in laying the field goal with the home team here on Monday night.