October 12th CFB Free Play

1069

I cashed my free play winner on the Giants ML(+170) last night. Today, I’ve got 2 plays in the standalone CFB game. I sent my premium members a play on the total, and I will give out my play on the side for free. My premium plays have gone 31-16-1 and netted my members +24.21u. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*CFB(1u): Louisiana +5 vs App State–6:30 PM CT

Louisiana returned the most production in CFB entering this season, but they have been somewhat disappointing to start the year. They were non-competitive to open up the season against Texas(a game many pegged them to win), and while they have won their last 4 games, 3 have come by just one possession. The combined record of their last 4 opponents is just 8-14, making those close wins a little more concerning. App State is also 4-1, with their only loss coming by 2 points against Miami. The Mountaineers have also picked up quality wins against East Carolina(won by 14) and Marshall. Up to this point, it would appear that App State would be the play, but 5 is simply too many points to be giving the home team in this matchup. Louisiana has looked concerning to this point, but they have had extra time to prepare for this matchup. I would expect QB Levi Lewis to look a lot better tonight than he has at points this season. App State QB Chase Brice has had major turnover issues in the past(mainly last year at Duke), and the Ragin Cajuns defense presents a tough matchup. This game has major Sun Belt Conference implications, so I would expect a field goal game in either direction. You’re going to see a different Louisiana team tonight than you have up to this point this season.