In addition to playing the total in tonight’s CFB game, I also gave out a free play on Louisiana +5. Through 6 weeks of the season, my CFB record sits at 43-31-1, +19.86u.
*CFB(1u): App State/Louisiana UNDER 57.5–6:30 PM CT
Louisiana returned the most production in CFB entering this season, but they have been somewhat disappointing to start the year. They were non-competitive to open up the season against Texas(a game many pegged them to win), and while they have won their last 4 games, 3 have come by just one possession. The combined record of their last 4 opponents is just 8-14, making those close wins a little more concerning. App State is also 4-1, with their only loss coming by 2 points against Miami. The Mountaineers have also picked up quality wins against East Carolina(won by 14) and Marshall. I really like the Under in this matchup. Louisiana likes to go at a controlled pace and, given they are the home team, they should have an opportunity to dictate the pace of this game. This is the toughest defense App State has faced up to this point in the season, and QB Chase Brice has his history of turnover issues. 57.5 is far too high considering the Sun Belt implications this game has; I’d expect both defenses to take the forefront. Anything 56 or higher on the total seems like an obvious Under play to me.
