October 14th MLB Free Play

384

I won both of my CFB plays back on Tuesday, putting my October record at 25-13-1, +14.94u. Tonight, I am rolling with a lone MLB free play; premium members will receive my Week 7 CFB Premium Card this evening, with my CFB free plays following tomorrow morning. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*MLB(1u): Dodgers/Giants UNDER 7(-120)–8:07 PM CT

As expected, this series has gone the distance. Each team has been able to pick up a crucial road win, sending this to a deciding Game 5 back in San Francisco. Being that it is a standalone MLB game, people are going to want an exciting, high-scoring game; unfortunately for them, I think we’re in for a pitcher’s duel. Giants SP Logan Webb tossed a gem in Game 1 of this series, going 7.2 scoreless innings and striking out 10 Dodgers. At home this season, Webb’s numbers are nothing short of incredible(1.96 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 0.5 HR/9), so there’s no reason to believe he won’t have success against what is an overvalued Dodgers lineup. However, Julio Urias was just as solid on the mound this season; in addition to being a 20 game winner, Urias recorded a 2.96 ERA and 1.02 WHIP across 32 starts. The Giants swing it very well at home, but they do so at a much higher rate against right-handed pitching. Given Urias allowed less than 1 HR/9 this season, I think the Giants lineup will be held at bay. I don’t typically endorse full game Unders, but given that these were 2 of the top 3 teams in bullpen WHIP during the regular season, I can trust each in this spot tonight.