Premium Record: 37-20-1, +25.57u
2021 CFB: 50-38-1, +17.71u
*CFB(1.5u): Coastal Carolina/App State UNDER 61.5(-110)–6:30 PM CT
#14 Coastal Carolina has jumped out to a fast 6-0 start without really being challenged at all. Seriously, their schedule to this point is as follows: Citadel, Kansas, @ Buffalo, UMASS, ULM, @ Arkansas State. Their 5 FBS opponents have a combined record of 9-22 and include some of the worst teams in CFB. I’m not all that high on App State, but they will present the toughest test to the Chanticleers by far. Coastal implements a spread option attack offensively that is predicated on a strong running game, but QB Grayson McCall has been uber-efficient this season(80% completion, 13.6 Y/A). The Chants run less than 65 plays/game, which ranks among the lowest in the country. App State gave up 41 to Louisiana in a blowout loss, but prior to that game they were giving up just 20 PPG. Back at home in a major conference matchup, I’d expect the Mountaineers defense to buck up and give the Coastal offense a challenge they haven’t received all season. While I expect the Chants to have a relatively tough time offensively tonight, their defense is filled with experience and has been totally dominant this season(allowing 15 PPG). App State QB Chase Brice is simply not a very good QB; he finished 15/27 with just 135 yards and 2 INT’s in last week’s loss at Louisiana. While the Mountaineers will likely try to lean on their run game more than usual tonight, Coastal is loaded in the front 7 and particularly at LB, meaning the App State RB’s will have a difficult time breaking off explosive runs. This total is considerably high for my liking, and with the context of this high-stakes conference game considered, I’m going heavy on this Under.
