NFL Play- HOU at MIA

631

Not a lot of market support for Miami in their home game hosting the Houston Texans today with 78% of the money on HOU to cover the +5.5. I like Miami in this one as they have lost some close ones so far in the season, they are better than their 1-7 record.

Miami is not known to be a scoring squad so that does concern me with the -5.5, so I’m looking at alternative ways to play on them. I like the better line for Miami 1Q -1/2 (-105) as they have been one of the most profitable 1st quarter teams in the league at 7-1 1Q ATS on the season for +6.05 units.

No doubt Houston is a better team with Tyrod Taylor at QB so I’ll keep this play small. Houston MLB Kirksey out helps Miami establish their run game early. Give me the Dolphins 1Q -1/2 at home in the early game!

Miami 1Q -1/2 (-105) 1.05u

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My personal betting system is based on Sentiment/ Matchups/ Abnormalities/ Rankings/ Trends that I call the SMART approach. I tend to start seasons conservative and capitalize as sample sizes get bigger. I am always on the lookout for information and try my hardest to do the due diligence when that hard earned money is at stake. My Patreon plays are public the day after games where often times I do have analysis, angles, and trends I like and bet myself! See my record at kris_lundborg on the Action Network App.