We went on one hell of a run last night, finishing 5-1 for +7.5 units to start our weekend! The NBA continues to treat us well but head down, humility first, and we keep grinding in a long season. Here’s a prop play that I LOVE tonight!
For my PREMIUM PICKS every day in your inbox, click here!
NFL Circa Picks: 32-17-1
NFL: 64-61 (52%), +7.1 units
NBA: 43-34 (56%), +14.26 units
Jonas Valanciunas any line over 21.5 points or less (no line yet), 2 units – There’s just no way I couldn’t bet this prop in this spot for the Pelicans. After a great effort last night against Brooklyn, this young, injury-plagued Pelicans team goes into today on a back-to-back against the Grizzlies. Memphis suffered a bad loss last night at home against the surging Suns, who look to be back to form. The spot sucks for both of these clubs but at least the Pelicans get to stay home; Memphis will play its second away game in under 24 hours. Brandon Ingram is questionable, but even if he plays I don’t think it affects Valanciunas’ game all that much. The big man has been terrific with his new team. According to Basketball-Reference, the 7 footer is averaging 20 ppg and nearly 14 rebounds per game so far this season. Because of how injured the Pelicans are, they rely on Valanciunas for game in-game out production, and he delivers. Shooting 50% from the field and an amazing 52% from beyond the arc, Valanciunas will be overflowing with motivation and confidence tonight against his former team. The Grizzlies traded him to New Orleans earlier this year in a move that left many of us perplexed. Often the spark-plug for the Grizzlies when they needed it most, Jonas was an integral part of their playoff run last year. But with Ja Morant reaching new levels of superstardom, the franchise felt Valanciunas wasn’t as valuable for their future. I imagine the Lithuanian might disagree.
New coach Willie Green has his Pelicans fighting hard but they’re young and undermanned to start the regular season. I expect a huge game from Valanciunas tonight as he shoulders the load for his team once more– take the over on this prop and don’t look back!
