LFG! I am due, you are due, and an Eagles win/cover is due. Week 11 is in for a rough one as we #BEATHEBOOK! Current NFL record: 87-60 +31.07 Units.
Home field has certainly not been an advantage for the Eagles this season. They are currently 5-5 ATS, but 1-3 ATS at home and 0-4 SU. That will change on Sunday!
Phi -2.5 (-120)
The dynamic presence of Jalen Hurts has proven to give defenses trouble this year. Not only has Hurts been getting it done on the ground, but is starting to take form through the air with a 67.5% completion percentage his last two games. We saw Hurts get his first NFL start against the Saints last season, upsetting them 24-21. This is a new season and Saints defense is certainly up to the task to learn from their mistakes last year. The key difference in this game is the Saints defense will be trying their best to contain Hurts vs. the Eagles defense completely shutting down Siemian.
Second week in a row for the Saints are without their dynamic play maker in Alvin Kamara. Now this week the Saints are without both their Left and Right starting offensive tackles. Simply put the Eagles defensive front should absolutely DOMINATE this match up and be in the face of Trevor Siemian all day. That constant pressure that will be exhibited will make for turnovers and short field starting possessions for the Eagles to work with. Darius Slay has been a MONSTER this season shutting down teams number 1 receivers week to week. I do not see how the Saints will effectively be able to move the ball consistently. Yes, they will be cute and try their gadget plays with Taysom Hill (if he plays)… it is just not sustainable throughout the course of this game. Saints offense will be flat, vanilla, and predictable. Mistakes will be made and the Eagles will capitalize. Fly Eagles Fly, the AINTS go stumbling home. Phi -2.5
Key Trends:
- Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the NFC South
- Saints are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in NFC East
