LA Chargers vs Cincinnati -3 O/U 49.5
We hope that you enjoyed your 3-0 free plays in college football this week! Let’s take a look into this game. I see action on both sides of the number here. Some people won’t get off of the Chargers who has proven to be a better road team at 8-5 ATS since 2020, yet the Bengals are certainly an above average team laying a short price at home. For me, I think the total is the best look here. The Chargers rank 7th on offense in EPA per play and Justin Herbert is an MVP candidate this year. Joe Burrow hasn’t been no slouch either ranking 7th in EPA/CPOE composite. The Chargers defense however has been a sieve allowing the worst rushing performances each game and now they are without their best cover corner in Asante Samuel Jr. due to injury. They are also banged up some at safety. The Bengals have a good defense ranking 7th in EPA/play but the issue here is that they have been week against pass catching running backs and the Browns and the Jets have proven that. I think that Austin Eckler will get his today but I am not sure it will be enough to keep up with the Bengals. Instead I will grab the over 49.5 as my number is around 53.
Over 49.5 – 2.5 stars
6pt Teaser: Vikings to -1 with the Cardinals to -1.5 – 2 stars
