Atlanta vs San Francisco -9 O/U 47.5
Nobody knows Matt Ryan more than 49ers coach Kyle Shannahan. He coached him in their superbowl year. In saying that, I have to expect that Kyle knows his weaknesses as well. Believe it or not, Atlanta quietly ranks 3rd in opponent rush EPA but only 27th against the pass. Jimmy G has been lights out lately throwing the ball to Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle. He is top 5 in pass success rate as well as EPA per play. The only way to stop Jimmy G is to get to him. Atlanta is dead last in Sack rate. The Falcons also have some injured linebackers with Ellerbee and Fowler exiting last game. DVOA hates the Falcons having them dead last and don’t have them a lot higher. The 49ers are 8th in DVOA and trending up. Take the 49ers.
San Francisco -9 – 2 stars
6 pt Teaser: Cincinnati to +9 with Green Bay to -1 – 2 stars
