Frisco Bowl- UTSA vs SDST

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UTSA quarterback Frank Harris (0) throws downfield as he warms up before an NCAA college football game against BYU, Saturday, Oct. 10, 2020, in Provo, Utah. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer, Pool)
223/224 UTSA vs SDST Total 49
This total has ticked up from 48.5 since yesterday and it makes sense. Total initially probably went down from it’s original 50 open when UTSA RB Chance McCormick opted out of the game. Looking at the trends between these two teams, when SDST has allowed over 250 pass yards they are 4-2 O/U this season. UTSA averages just over 250 pass yards/ game. UTSA has struggled against teams who can run the ball lately, and the Aztecs offense should be able to run the ball averaging 175 rush yards/ game . When teams have run over 150 yards against the Roadrunners the total has gone 2-0 O/U, even with the higher totals that we see in the C-USA games. I realize it is hard to trust this SDST offense and so I’ll be making a smaller play on the over 49.
223 UTSA OV 49 (-110)*