Hi People!
Quite a finish to our NFL week, so first and foremost I want to celebrate THAT! The COVID assault on the NFL and NBA doesn’t make betting any easier, so it’s nice to escape Week 15 with a winning record. Expect positive regression in our bowl game picks, that’s why the WYO under was only 1 unit, and don’t overreact to our recent NBA losses. The fact that Indiana shit the bed and barely showed up on offense last night was just atrocious. Of course that’s what the Pacers do, but wow. Hard not to play on those matchup advantages. Today is another day with inflated favorites and a ton of injuries – tread carefully on NBA bets in general, and trust in the process! Onto the picks:
Early NFL:
- Titans +3.5 *** (I LOVE the Titans in this spot. San Francisco is on the road, probably feeling WAY too good about themselves after an easy win at home against ATL. The Titans have proven they can still run without Henry, they’re at home, their defense is playing REALLY well, and the Titans are a blue-collar, smash-mouth team; the Niners are soft. Vrabel and the Titans should either win or make this VERY close. I’d consider a sprinkling on the Tennessee ML, too)
- Lions +6 ** (Falcons a 6 point favorite, are you kidding me? Auto bet on a Detroit team that’s playing some very spirited football right now, and for my money, they’re the better team)
NBA Today:
- Cavs/Celtics under 211.5 ** (The Cavs have one of the most underrated backcourts in the NBA, especially on defense. Even without Mobley and Allen, CLE can slow down Boston. I expect a low-scoring game between two exceptional defenses)
- Nuggets -5.5 * (The difference in this game is Jokic. Unless he’s a late scrap, which is always possible with the oddity that is the NBA, this should be a huge Jokic game and a Nuggets win by margin)
- Bulls -9 * (This is a big line but the Raptors are without VanFleet and Siakam and Chicago is getting healthy. The Bulls should overwhelm Toronto on offense and get a big win at home)
