Hope everyone has had a great week! We are on the home stretch and boy are these match ups tight. I do not foresee the lopsided blowouts we saw last week. Time for teams to tighten up, get sharp, and make a run. Here is my free play this week.
Current NFL record through week 19: 151-106 +43.81 Units
TB -2.5 (-117)
I will start with my week 3 notes for our podcast when these two teams met and Rams won 34-24 in LA.
“Is this quite possibly an NFC championship preview match up? This seems like the classic set up we have seen time and time again. Rams defense balls out gets the best of Brady in the first match up swarming him and making him look slow. Bringing up the question is Tom Brady done? And media has a field day for the week. Fast forward come playoff time Brady beats the Rams convincingly. Lets put a pin on that for the weeks to come. But I think that is exactly the storyline here. Rams defense will swarm and out work Brady in this first match up. Stafford seems to have found a connection with Kupp making him a fantasy superstar in the process. I think the run game will be non-existent for either team especially the rams as Henderson is dealing with injury issues. Look for an exciting shootout that has a ton of points, where the home team edges out Brady for the headline narratives to come Monday. Rams +1 ML and Over”
Well the time has come and it is not quite the NFC championship, but the road to it starts here. This is what we have seen time and time again. Brady gets beat in a match up during the regular season, then shows up and takes care of business post season when it matters. We have Brady with 35 playoff wins against Stafford with 1. Let’s not over think this. The goat is the goat, and yes the Rams have an awesome defense… but don’t think for a second Brady doesn’t know how to scheme to pick it apart. Truth of the matter is this is the big time, the pressure is on, and I can not trust Stafford to get it done. Put your money on the best QB to ever do it, especially under a key number of 3. TB 12 All day. TB -2.5.
