*CBB(1u): St John’s/Georgetown OVER 157.5(-110)–5 PM CT
This is a strange scheduling spot as each of these teams has played once already this week and will also play over the weekend. St John’s goes at the 4th highest pace in the country, and in their Tuesday game vs Providence, we saw that game turn into a track meet(96 points in the second half). Georgetown also plays with more pace than their 47th ranking would indicate and features a horrendous defense(249th in def. efficiency). That said, the Hoyas have gotten healthier and are bound to break out on the offensive end of the floor. St John’s allowed 86 points to a slow-paced Providence team just 2 days ago and now rank outside the Top 100 in defensive efficiency. I’ve had success betting Over’s on these high total games this week, and I think this is another one that flies over the total.
*CBB(1u): UCF -11.5(-110) vs South Florida–6 PM CT
South Florida is a stricht “bet against” team for me; the Bulls rank 340th in offensive efficiency and combine that with just the 319th fastest pace in the country. USF is 1-6 in conference play, with the average margin of those losses sitting at 19 PPG. Funny enough, their only win came against this UCF team; they didn’t just squeak by either, they won that game by 24. However, UCF was coming off a double-digit win vs Memphis and shot just 2-20 from deep in that game. I’m higher than most on the Knights and think this is a great time to buy-in on them. This is still a team that beat both Michigan and Miami handily this season, and this is an easy matchup where they should have all of the motivation in the world. USF’s win over UCF a few weeks ago was a total fluke; I like the Knights to look good from start to finish and win this game by 15+.
