Premiums, 12.12

106

 

Hi All!

Utah St. shit the bed but another 2-1 night in the NBA ain’t a bad thing. Onto Saturday!
Disclaimer: You will not be receiving any premium picks from me tomorrow on Super Bowl Sunday. All SB picks are below, and I’ll include my leans for tomorrow’s NBA slate, too. This is one chance for me to get some sort of break, and I’m going to take it! Ha… appreciate your understanding.
NBA Picks, Today:
  • Ja Morant O29 points *
    • This is a great game for Ja to go off. The Hornet won’t be able to stop him at the rim and he basically had an extra game off when Memphis rocked the Pistons a few days ago. I like him to get into the 30s.
  • Pelicans -4 *
    • The Pels showed some things in a loss to the Heat recently. Though they ultimately got bested by a better team, as we predicted, the Spurs are not the Heat. San Antonio is also off a back to back (and a big win last night), so this is another tough road spot for them. New Orleans has a considerably better starting 5 than San Antonio and they play way better at home. I like the Pels to cover in this one; the Spurs bench has to be tired – that’s a good thing for New Orleans.
  • CLE/PHI under 206 *
    • This one will be a BATTLE in the front court and a slow paced game, especially since CLE will be without Darius Garland. Going against the grain here and I think the under hits. I’d take this at 203 and up.
  • Warriors -7 **
    • If the Lakers cover this number, it’s because LeBron does some amazing, GOAT shit in the clutch. These two teams are continually further and further apart in my power ratings and Golden State at home? Good luck LAL, a team that struggles stopping everyone! They won’t be able to stop Golden State if Klay/Steph get going.
NBA Leans, SB Sunday:
  • MIN/IND over …
    • If this number is below 228, I’d take the cover for 1 unit.
CBB Picks:
  • Baylor -6 *
  • Rutgers +8.5 *
  • Seton Hall +9.5 *
  • OSU/Mich under 141 *
  • Gonzaga -15.5 *
UFC 271 Picks:
  • Modafferi/O’Neill does NOT go distance (+140) *
    • O’Neill has serious finishing power, and her last 4 fights haven’t gone the distance.
  • Cannonier/Brunson DOES go the distance (+114) *
    • Two different fighting styles should create some caution in a big fight for both men.
  • Derrick Lewis by TKO/KO stoppage in round 1 (+200)
    • Why the hell not? These two mammouths are open about the fact that they’ll be going right at each other for a knockout. Getting close to Lewis? Not a good idea.
  • UFC Parlay: Perez, O’Neill, Ulberg, Lewis, Adesanya (1 unit to win 3.45) *
SB Picks:
  • 1Q under 9.5 **
  • 1H under 23.5 *
  • Odell over 5.5 catches (+110) ** (this is great value)
  • Bengals +4 *
  • Bengals 3rd QTR ML (+100) **
  • Parlay: Rams ML + under 48.5 ** (2 units to win 3.88 units)
  • Uzomah to score a TD (+400) *
 
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris