College Basketball 2/12/22 Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting

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Texas vs Baylor -6 O/U 131.5

You have to appreciate Texas’s big win at home vs Kansas.   These kid stepped up big when they needed to and they will certainly be dancing in March.  In saying that, Baylor came off a funk getting destroyed by Kansas last Saturday and they took vengeance at Kansas State.  Baylor is a covering machine this year as a favorite at 13-9-1 ATS.  They are a good home team shooting as well at 49% and rank 51st at home/road splits on Haslametrics.   Texas is quite the opposite.   They shoot a dismal 43.1% away from home and are 2-5 ATS as an away team.  The Horns also only rank 353rd in away/home splits on Hasla.   This is a let down spot for Texas and Baylor just got healthy.   Baylor is also still reeling from that nasty Kansas loss last weekend.  I also think they might get LJ Cryer back which would really boost this team.  This game is more of a rivalry to Baylor than it is to Texas.  Take the Bears.

Baylor -6 – 2.5 stars

UCLA vs USC +1.5 O/U 136.5

UCLA came into the year as a top ranked team.  They had some hiccups themselves and some injuries but they are mainly back to full health.  USC was a great team last year and they beat their step-brothers both times during the regular season.   This USC team isn’t the same though, and they lost one of the Mobely brothers and their point guard to the NBA and graduation.   USC doesn’t rank in the top 100 in effective FG this year and their best win was against number 38 Washington State.   UCLA beat Arizona once, Villanova and Marquette.   UCLA has had a much harder strength of schedule also facing Gonzaga and Arizona twice.   I think the Bruins are live here on their 4th road game (which is actually close to home).   Take UCLA as the shorty.

UCLA -1.5 – 2 stars

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.