Wisconsin vs Rutgers -2.5 O/U 132
If you asked me to bet against Rutgers at the Rac, I would have to call you crazy, but one thing is for sure, this is a road revenge spot for Wisconsin and Rutgers is in a good spot coming off of two bad road performances. Now, Wisconsin’s defense is good but not as good as in past years. Their guys down slow move rather slow and the dribble drive tends to take them out of their game. Rutgers has been a very good passing team this year ranking 17th in he nation in assist to FG%. This is why Rutgers performs so well at home shooting 44.5% at 34.2% from three. Wisconsin is actually a decent road team themselves 105th away from home on Haslametrics and shooting well enough from three. They play faster than last year by about three possessions. Wisconsin’s weakness is allowing points allowing opponents to shoot 44% on the road. I can see both teams getting some points this game being that both offenses are better than they were last year and both defense. Wisconsin doesn’t defend the near proximity well ranking 84th in the nation and that is where Rutgers is going to score. Wisconsin defends will from three but Rutgers only ranks 322nd in attempted threes. Wisconsin away games are 6-3-1 to the over. I think this game goes over.
Over 132 – 2 stars
Louisville vs Wake Forest -8.5 O/U 144
This is the time of year that I like to bet on bubble teams and fade the step sisters of the poor. Let’s face it. Louisville is a lame duck program with a lame duck coach right now. They finally got a home win vs Clemson last weekend and now they are on the road without major motivation to face off against a very aggressive Wake Forest team. The Demon Deacons are better than the Cardinal at every single facet of the game and they like to play fast. Wake Forest can’t afford to lose this game because they will fall back into the outside looking in. Kenpom has this spread a 11, Haslametrics has it at 11.5 and I have it at 12. Take the favorite here and watch for a potential blowout.
Wake Forest -8.5 – 1.5 stars
