Less than ideal performance yesterday but in retrospect, probably some bad beats:
- Scoring came to a halt for TOR/BRK in the 4th quarter, in a game that easily should have eclipsed 220.
- The Hawks had 65 at the half… credit to Boston’s defense, but a 13 point 3rd quarter from one of the NBA’s best offenses? C’mon man.
- And the Lakers, if we had them at +5.5, would have covered.
Can’t overly question ourselves after 1 down night, onto Wednesday!
NBA Picks:
- Knicks/76ers over 222, to win 1 unit
- We played on this Sunday and I see no reason why we shouldn’t again. Philly runs a little faster with Harden and loses a little defense, too. We’ve seen what this 76ers offense can do if Harden and Maxey and Embiid are in-sync, and it looks like NYK has no idea how to stop it. Gotta hit theover again.
- Heat +4, to win 1.5 units
- If Miami’s interior defense is as good as we think it is, they should be able to keep this game close or win outright. The Heat are one of the most unheralded teams in the NBA week to week. All they do is win and play great on both sides of the ball. Lowry out isn’t great but it didn’t hurt them too much against an explosive Chicago offense. Gotta go with the Heat to cover tonight; this should be a fun battle.
- Jazz -12.5, to win 1.5 units
- Ugly, inflated, not a great price, sure. But the Jazz are completely healthy and look like they’re ready to go on a pre-playoff run to position themselves well, like they usually do. Utah dominated Houston recently in a game that showed all of their strengths. I’m betting that it happens again, and it’s way more likely it does than it doesn’t.
- Jonas Valanciunas 12+ rebounds, to win 1 unit (-124 on Bovada)
- Jonas has averaged 10.6 rebounds and 14.4 ppg against Domantas Sabonis in 7 previous matchups. Since we can’t always count on Valanciunas to score, we’ll take Jonas’ rebound prop tonight. The Pelicans are in a bit of a flow state- I also like their side tonight- and Valanciunas is much stronger and thicker than Sabonis. I expect the big man to clean up at the rim all game. Your book should offer a similar line.
CBB Picks (all 1 unit):
- UCONN/Creighton 1H under 63
- Arkansas -5.5
- Maryland -5.5
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris
