Feels like we’re back on track after a real nice Sunday – the Nets should have covered, but we’ll take a 3-1 finish. Onto the next!
NBA Picks:
- Hawks/Pistons over 227.5, 1 unit
- The Hawks are starting to show consistency on offense, ranked as top 10 or top 5 over the last 5-15 games. I’m still not impressed by what they offer on defense, and they’re traveling to Detroit against a Pistons team that’s gaining some real confidence. Detroit has the shooters to find success on offense and Atlanta hasn’t been very successful shutting down any team’s mid-range opportunities. Points should be plentiful- I’d take it up to 230.
- Lean, 76ers -7
- Sixers Team Total over 118.5, 1.5 units
- If this number drops to -6, I may play it. Chicago has been exposed recently, with very little to offer on defense and overly reliant on unsustainable efficiency on offense. Harden is back and Philly, at home, should be able to do what they’ve done to most teams recently – lock down and bolt ahead by a few scores in the 4th QTR. Let’s see if this number drops, but for now I’m happy to play on their TT over. The Sixers are routinely exposing bad defenses when they’re led by James Harden, averaging 126.5 points in that 4-game span.
- Timberwolves 1H -8, 1.5 units and
- Timberwolves -15, 1.5 units
- There’s very little reason to believe the Timberwolves won’t run over the Blazers here. Anthony Edwards should return for Minnesota, while Nurkic, Simons, Winslow, Little, and Bledsoe are ALL out for Portland. I can’t even express how open their front court should be. Miracles happen, but this game has blowout written all over it. Taking the first half too, in case Minnesota is up by SO much that they let loose in the 2nd. I wouldn’t go over -16 here, I have it at -18.
CBB Picks:
- St. Mary’s -5, 1 unit
- Can’t imagine St. Mary’s not putting in full effort and covering this line – they’re not afraid of Gonzaga and they want a conference title, but they have to win to get there.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris
