Premiums, 3.21

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First of all – 3.21? That’s a damn good date. I’m not a numerology guy but my favorite number is 21, and it’s the 3rd month? Let’s go – has to be some luck in that!
The Heat line is finally out. I heard some of you got a better line than me but I’m still excited for this opportunity. I absolutely LOVE Miami tonight. Onto the picks!

NBA Picks:

  • Pistons 1H -4 , 1 unit and
  • Pistons -7, 1 unit
    • Why not? The Blazers are in a horrendous spot off a long road trip and a back to back, and as I’ve said many times over in these posts, they have the worst current roster of any NBA team. No Simons and no Nurkic = poor talent with no stand out leader or scorer. The Pistons are feeling themselves lately, snagging wins and covering 12 of their last 14 games. They’ve also covered something like 10 straight 1st halves. Players like Bey, Cunningham, and other young talent are starting to burgeon in their early careers. Detroit is having fun right now and I think they BLAST the piss-poor Blazers.
  • Heat -1.5, 3 units
    • I saw some of you got a + number here, which is AWESOME. The Heat are one of the best away teams in the NBA, covering 62.9% of their road games this year. Now they’re in a hugely advantageous spot against a Philly team that’s off a B2B and 3 games in 4 days. Embiid and Harden could rest and Butler should be back after rolling his ankle early next week. ALL MIAMI for this guy.
  • Jazz/Nets over 229.5, 1.5 units
    • Neither of these defenses have been up to par, but the Nets in particular have struggled stopping anyone of merit (except for that one all-in performance against Philly). This is a potential Durant-explosion spot and the Jazz are off a B2B, which should only affect their defense negatively after a hard-fought battle against NYK. I like the over.
Sweet 16 Lookahead Lines: I think all of the below lines move against the side I like as the week moves on, so I’m grabbing these now for 1 unit.
  • Michigan/Villanova under 135
  • Texas Tech -1
  • St. Peter’s +12.5
  • NC +2
  • Miami -1.5
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit. 
 
Always appreciate all of you! -Chris