Premiums, 4.8

655

 

Another good day although wow- Padres? That was silly. I won’t always provide write ups for baseball to save some time, but feel free to ask me anything!

Happy Friday, ya crazy animals!
NBA Picks:
  • Knicks/Wizards over 222.5, 1 unit
    • This game will mean a lot less to the Knicks and therefore a lot less effort on defense. The Wizards, somehow, have been putting up points and they’ve instantly turned into a softer, flashier offense with Porzingis (go figure). This total is too low – I have it at 229.
  • Bulls 1H TT under 60, 2 units
    • This is not a good offense over the last month and it’s definitely not a good offense in the 1st half. Look back at their last 10-15 games and you’ll only find ONE half where they eclipsed 60 points. I know they’re at home and this is the Hornets we’re talking about, not a premiere defense, but I just don’t trust Chicago to do anything well right now. Only great offenses can score over 60 points in the 1st half – and a lot of that takes riding a wave of momentum. Don’t trust CHI, betting against them and their lack of momentum, and the probabilities are on our side.
  • Suns/Jazz over 226.5, 1.5 units
    • The Jazz are a team that’s mystifying many of us. With the same talent and same projections, they just don’t look the same. That’s especially true on defense. The Suns don’t need nor should they particularly care about this matchup. Aside from bragging rights, it’s pretty meaningless, and it’s unlikely they’ll see Utah in the postseason. If the Suns let up tonight, it’ll be on defense. The Jazz offense has still been producing at a high clip and the Suns’ pace should push it even higher. I have this at 232.
  • Blazers/Mavs 1H over 114 or less, 2 units
    • Combining Portland’s no-existence defense and Dallas proclivity to play fast and score a ton of points in the first half = an obvious over. Let’s hope all things go as they have – all signs point towards YES. Portland score in the 1H, and dies in the second. Give us points!
MLB Picks:
  • Brewers -1.5 (+105), 1 unit to win 1.05
  • Athletics/Phillies first 5 under 4.5 (-130), 1.3 units to win 1
  • Marlins/Giants under 7.5 (-110), 1.1 units to win 1
  • Mariners (+102), 1 unit to win 1.02
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit. 
 
Always appreciate all of you! -Chris 
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Chris has been betting and handicapping sports for over a decade, honing long-term strategy from the sharpest minds in the industry. A military veteran and avid NY Giants fan, he has a Bachelor's in Journalism and Philosophy from Alvernia University and Master's in Public Administration from American University. When Chris isn't consuming sports (which is rather nonstop), he enjoys spending time with his family, his friends, and his over-sized German Shepherd. He also loves beef jerky (way too much).