How about it ladies and gents – a cool 7-0 run in NBA picks and our MLB wager cashes Friday too. Hallelujah— maybe it’s the new house vibes. Head down, let’s keep churning out these wins!
NBA Picks:
76ers/Raptors under 213.5, 1 unit
This series has really been slowing down – Toronto and Philly are the slowest paced teams in the playoffs at only 88 possessions per game. Philly has played nearly perfect offensive basketball so that only gives us more reason to think they’ll probably experience a more disappointing outing eventually. Toronto’s defense showed real fight in game 3– expect a very physical battle and I wouldn’t be surprised if it fell under 200 total points.
Mavericks +6, 1.5 units
So wait, now Luka could legitimately return (he’ll go through a full practice and will be a game time decision today), but even if he doesn’t, why would I assume this Jazz outfit is going to present differently today? There’s clear discord in that locker room, D. Mitchell is off, Gobert looks meh, Quinn Snyder seems to have lost his grasp, and Dallas has found myriad ways to take advantage. Brunson and Dinwiddie, as we noted months ago, are lethal on the court together, and this team knows how to stifle Utah on defense. Give me the points!
Nets/Celtics 1Q over 54.5, 1.5 units and
Celtics full game ML, 1 unit to win 1.4 units
If you like Brooklyn, I’d take them early. I’m sure the Nets will come out on fire and that’s why we like the 1Q over. Durant and Kyrie will be out for blood after poor shooting nights in game 2, Brooklyn traditionally starts at a faster pace at home, and the only way the Nets can win is by staying ahead and maintaining the half-court advantage on defense. But if we haven’t learned how elite the Celtics have been playing, there’s something wrong with us. Their halftime adjustments have been gold and their 2nd half defense is absolutely next-level. Celtics punch Brooklyn in the mouth one more time, and it may be the final nail in the coffin.
Lean 1Q over and lean Grizzlies-3
I’m not betting on this game today because this series is just getting weirded and weirder. The total has gone down for the first QTR, which is kind of silly, and I can’t count on Minnesota at this point. I’m sure it’ll be entertaining- no bets for me tho. And I would caution you in taking these leans yourself.
MLB Picks:
Brewers/Phillies Run in 1st Inning: Yes, 1.05 units to win 1 unit
Two struggling pitchers facing lineups that have been consistently hitting. Taking a shot.
Blue Jays first 5 (+105), 1 unit
Manoah looks great and he’s in a good spot to give Toronto an early edge.
No UFC picks, but I lean M. Barber and Puelles.
Let’s goooo! Happy Saturday crew!
