What’s up, crew! Let’s close out this week strong – I’ll have family and friends over this weekend so my availability may not be as frequent. Please be patient with me but don’t hesitate if you have any questions. I’ll get to it eventually.
NBA Picks:
Celtics 1H +0.5, 1 unit
Celtics/Bucks 1H under 102.5, 1 unit
If I lean the Celtics early, it’s because of their defense. Robert Williams III should return, although it’s not certain just yet, and Boston kept the Bucks at bay for the majority of game 5. Of course, not so much when it mattered at the end, but this is a series between two elite defenses that have seen it all. After that game-ending play by Jrue Holiday, the Celtics should come out fiery and pester Milwaukee like their playoff lives depend on it (and uh yea, it does). If Milwaukee plays Middleton, I think that’s only an offensive liability for this contest. Middleton will come in cold, and there’s no way he fully recovered after only 3 weeks off. I like a defensive game and for Boston to keep it within range in the first.
Grizzlies +8, 1.5 units
I can’t bet the Warriors, even at home, after what I saw in game 5, at THIS line. We missed the 8.5 (grab that again if it comes out), but this Ja-less Memphis team is fluid and better on defense without their star. They won’t go down without a fight.
MLB Picks:
Brewers/Marlins 15 over 3 (-105), to win 1 unit
We’re just playing the numbers/odds here. Three runs isn’t a lot, and we know these two pitchers are elite, but Miami just exploded offensively on Wednesday and the Brewers are overdue for a more productive hitting day.
Twins -1.5 (+120), 1 unit
This is a good spot for the Twins to get off their schneid and grab a win against a pitcher in Civale who can’t find his command.
Rockies -1.5 (+130), 1 unit
The Rockies are just considerably better at home and Greinke doesn’t scare me away with Colorado’s bats at Coors and a subpar lineup always for KC.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit.
Always appreciate all of you! -Chris
