The NBA Finals have finally arrived and we’re pretty STOKED. Limiting my MLB plays today – annoyed by that Yankee game being postponed because now LAA is starting Ohtani against Cortes (so that bet gets voided). Regardless, I’m feeling better and better about our takes in the majors – expect significant improvement in our plays moving forward.
Onto today’s picks!
NBA Finals, Game 1 (and futures):
Full Game Over 211, 1.5 units
Warriors 1Q -0.5, 1.5 units
Curry wins MVP (+110), 1 unit
Warriors win series 4-3 (+400), 1 unit
Game 1 is at the Chase Center and the Warriors will be WELL RESTED heading into this contest. The best way for them to take advantage of the Celtics’ lack of rest and get a win? Up the pace, small-ball the hell out of their defense and space them out, and run the floor in transition. I lean Warriors full game, too, and like them even more early. I may have more plays on this game -settling into these two wagers for now. Let’s go!
As far as the Curry MVP add, if the Warriors win, it’s VERY likely that he’ll be the MVP. The talk is already all over the media; things like, “How important is it to Curry’s legacy that he wins an MVP?” Shit like that. The table is set and GS winning it straight up is juiced up to -150 at most books. We also like the 4-3, seven game series scenario for the Warriors. They have home-court advantage, haven’t lost at home, they have a significant experience edge, and this is an important moment for their dynasty and its legacy. The Celtics are extremely feisty so I have little doubt that they’ll push GS to their limits.
MLB Picks:
Twins -1.5 (+135), 1 unit to win 1.35 units
Alex Michael Faedo has a few marks that are worrisome, particularly a 5.79 xERA, and there’s not a ton of upside in his profile, and the Twins are WAY overdue to explode on offense.
Rays + Blue Jays M parlay, 1 unit to win 1.67
Kluber (TB, 4.03 xERA) is coming into his own after a great showing against NYY. Hearn (TX, 6.44 xERA) isn’t on the same planet and has little command to speak of. The Rays’ wouldn’t mind even-ing up this series after a poor start, either. As far as the Blue Jays, we’ll continue to trust in Manoah (2.74 xERA) at home, who hasn’t missed a beat, against a cold White Sox offense.
