We have a full MLB slate and have decided to give out 2 of our 4 Premium Plays for today! We are on a 16-7 (28% ROI) run over the past 23 plays and look to add to it today!!
Get my Premium Packages HERE, including monthly all access, the rest of MLB season and College Football Early Bird Special and/or any of our handicappers here at the Odds Breakers!
The Minnesota Twins and the Seattle Mariners are taking on each other in a battle of two AL teams. The Mariners are towards the bottom of the AL West standings and are 28-34 overall this season with a record of 16-25 when playing as the underdog. The Twins are at the top of their division and are 36-28 overall with a 24-12 record as a favorite this season. Sonny Gray will be starting for the Twins today and he owns a 3-1 record with a 1.04 WHIP, .233 opponent BA, and 3.48 xFIP on the road this season. Gray has been excellent of late as he has posted a 1.42 ERA, .183 opponent wOBA, 27.1% K rate, 0.68 WHIP and 1.30 FIP while only walking 1 batter in his last 3 starts. The Mariners will send out lefty Marco Gonzales, who owns 3.71 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, .240 BABIP and 5.29 FIP at home this season while giving up 6 home runs and 12 walks with 14 earned runs in 34 innings pitched at home. You gotta think that Gonzales will continue to regress against a good offense today. A Twins offense that ranks in the top 10 in wOBA and wRC+ in the past week and month. Seattle’s offense at home scores quite a few more runs than they do on the road. The Mariners average 4.48 runs per home game compared to 3.77 on the road while the Twins score nearly 5 runs per game on the road. Both of these bullpens are below average and rank in the bottom third of the MLB in ERA, FIP, HR/9, and BB% in the past 30 days. I expect Sonny Gray to limit this Seattle lineup and the Twins to at least 5 runs themselves to take us over this total. Take MIN (-131) and over 7.5 runs.
Get my Premium Packages HERE, including monthly all access, the rest of MLB season and College Football Early Bird Special and/or any of our handicappers here at the Odds Breakers!
