Ya know, usually by this time of the year/season my frustrations with baseball are starting to dwindle. Not so much this season. It’s probably an amalgamation of various factors, including just pure variance in the majors that’s beyond anyone’s control. As annoying as it is, we’re sticking to our methods and trusting in positive regression. Let’s start off this week on a HIGH note with some fookin’ wins.
MLB Picks:
Mariners/Padres first five under 4 (-120), to win 1 unit
Logan Gilbert has been THE ace for Seattle and he’s been steady all season. The Padres aren’t good against elite pitchers, and I like what I’ve seen from Clevinger so far. After a big scoring night for Seattle, I expect this to start slower.
Mets first five -1 (+110), to win 1.1 units
Normally I wouldn’t bet Scherzer right away in his first start after a month + off, but if his practice reports are any indication, he’s more than ready to go. Can’t say Nick Lodolo scares me away at all, so this is a perfect opportunity for the Mets to be up early.
Orioles (EVEN), 1.5 units and Rangers/Orioles over 9.5 (EVEN), 1 unit
Baltimore is a streaky team and their offense is humming along right now, snagging their 2nd win in 2 days with a comeback victory against Texas last night, Voth is no ace but Spencer Howard’s shaky career reared its ugly head again in his first 3 games this season. He’s made to be a reliever and he hasn’t been good in that respect, either. Starting against this frisky Baltimore lineup should result in plenty of runs and I like another win for the home-team O’s at Camden Yard.
Dodgers -1.5 (-115), to win 1 unit
I just don’t like anything about this series for Colorado, on the road, as LAD looks to refind their footing after a tough matchup against San Diego. They’re very comfortable at Dodger Stadium and we’re getting a reduced line because it’s German on the mound for Colorado. Marquez got blasted in his last outing against the Dodgers and that was at home. Don’t like this setup for the Rockies.
WNBA Pick:
Fever +11 (-110), to win 1 unit
The Storm just shellacked Indiana in Seattle last Friday, but now the teams switch home positions and in a league where win-margins are usually pretty thin, we’ll take a big home dog to at least keep it under double-digits, if/when they lose.
CFL Picks:
(July 7) Stampeders/Elks anything over 48 or less, 1 unit
Not seeing any lines out for this yet, but as long as Calgary has Bo Levi Mitchell at QB and he stays healthy, this is a team that can score points. Last time the Elks nearly beat the Stampeders and had little issue scoring as well. Once we get an official line, we’ll reassess and make our play, perhaps for more units.
