NHL 10/24/18 – Recap and Picks

498

The last post was on 10/17/18.  Here’s a recap from that night:  We went 5-2, WAS PL and U6 were our only losses.  Montreal, Calgary, Calgary/Boston O6, Anaheim ML, and Anaheim/NYI U6 all cashed for us.  That brings the season total to 21-17-2. The 17 losses include a lot of bad beats.  It is what it is and we move on, but it shows that were on the right track.

Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders

Florida is at New York tonight. They were in action last night and dropped their game 2-5 versus the Rangers. The Islanders are at home and their last game was the 20th out at San Jose.  That was the last game of a 4 game road trip for them.  They are at home for this lone game and then they head back on the road for a 3 game road trip.  Both teams are off losses, Florida losing two in a row, the Islanders losing at San Jose.  Florida’s record is deceiving, with the exception of last night, all their losses have been by 1 goal.  The Islanders, on the other hand, seem to either win big or lose big. They have won/lost 5 games in a row by 2 or more goals.  In this spot I look for Florida to bounce back and get the win.  They are a few goals or stops here and there from being 5-2 or 6-1, rather than 1-3-3.  I also look for there to be a lot of scoring in this match-up.  I am taking the Over 6.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Winnipeg Jets

The Leafs heads to Winnipeg to face off with the Jets.  Try as I might, I cannot find an edge in this match-up.  The Leafs are 6-3 and the Jets are 6-2-1.  The Jets are hot right now and have been scoring practically at will, scoring 4 or more goals in 4 straight games.  Toronto scored 4 or more goals for 5 straight before cooling off on their 2 game losing streak, only scoring 1 goal.  I look for the Jets to stay hot and for Toronto’s offense to wake up.  I will take the Over 6.5 goals.  If you’re really feeling it, take the Over 7 goals for +150 (5 Dimes).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche

Tampa Bay heads to Colorado to take on the Avalanche. Tampa Bay is on the 3rd game of a 5 game road trip, currently 1-1. Colorado is returning home off of a 4 game road trip, going 3-1. I think Tampa has the edge in tonight’s match-up.  Both team have been playing pretty well to start the season, but I will be taking the road team, Tampa Bay, tonight.  I am also taking the Under 6.5 goals.  I like the under because 4 of the last 5 Avs games have gone under.  And the first two games of the Lightning’s road trip have gone over, so I look for them to tighten up defensively.

Vancouver Canucks @ Las Vegas Knights

The last game of the night on this small slate has the Canucks in Vegas.  Vancouver is on a quick 2 game road trip out west to LV and then on to ARI.  They have lost 2 of their last 3. LV is on game 3 of a 5 game home stand, where they’ve won the first two.  They are on a 3 game win streak, after dropping 4 of their first 5 games to start the season.  Las Vegas has started slow, but seem to be heating up.  Vancouver has been a dog in every game it has played.  If you had just blindly bet Vancouver this season, you’d be up +4.75 Units.  There are many reasons to take Vegas here, and I wouldn’t fault anyone who does.  I just like this spot for Vancouver and I am taking them.  They are off a loss, losing 2 of 3. They will be looking to bounce back here.  The O/U is at 5.5, meaning the book makers don’t think there will be a lot of scoring in this one, making goals a premium.  I am taking Vancouver +1.5 -130.  It’s not often that you can get a goal and a half for only -130.  And with goals being a premium, it is a solid wager. Vegas may certainly win here, but I see it as a 2-3 game if they do.  I am going to sprinkle a little on the ML as well because the Canucks have proven to be active dogs. I also like the Under 5.5 goals here.   GL2ALL!!!

NOTE: At the time of this posting, the sharps are on Florida and Colorado.  The cash is on Winnipeg, Florida, Colorado and Vegas.

Remember, follow me on Twitter for Picks and Plays (especially when there is little time to break down the games). @U2remdm