Well I picked one hell of a weekend to give away free picks! Our Saturday wasn’t completely frustrating, but good God we’re getting some weird results. The Wings did exactly what we thought they would, shooting nearly 50% from the field, and we lost the TT by 0.5 points.
UFC started off strong, but the ref called the Derrick Lewis fight too early. Nothing was flukey about Moreno winning, but Nunes had Pena dead-to-rights more than once halfway through the main event and she didn’t capitalize.
Sunday is for football but we’re still a good 6 weeks away from that. God help us; let’s stay in the black today shall we?
WNBA Picks (13-11-1, +0.45 units):
Sky/Sun under 164.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
This total has fallen a bit and we agree with the movement. Thankfully it’s not too late to get involved. Dropping one point from the opening line, this one has under written all over it. Their last contest was an aberration – the Sky shot 60% from the field in that game and accordingly, the total went way over.
Fever +17.5 (-110), to win 0.5 units
Well here I go again. The smallest unit size possible but again, the Aces could care less about their opponent and this game today. They’re on their way to the postseason, probably as a #1 seed, and they can sleepwalk through this one. An inflated line is one to grab, especially after the Aces actually tried in the first contest and predictably clobbered Indiana. We’ll bet on a respectable performance from a pro team at home.
Mystics -2.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
The Seattle Storm confuse me in more ways than one, so typically I don’t like to bet on their games. But the Mystics maintain the best defense in the WNBA, leading all season in defensive rating, and the Storm were lucky to win that last contest. Seattle didn’t do much right but they got to the line 21 times and made 18 of their FTs. Well done; I don’t see a repeat performance like that in DC against a feisty Mystics squad. I’ll take DC to cover.
CFL Picks (8-9, -1.55 units):
Ottawa at Toronto over 47 (-105), to win 1.5 units (Sunday)
The Ottawa Redblacks gave a valiant effort last week against Montreal, putting up 33 points in a game with little defense. Toronto has come into their own offensively, torching Saskatchewan in two straight weeks, scoring 61 total points in those matchups. Ottawa is worse on defense in almost every statistical category; they allow a ton of first downs and only the Elks are worse in opponent yards per play. Toronto is at home and should be able to continue dominating on offense, and I like the trajectory of Ottawa’s offense, one that fights and shows capability against mediocre defenses. Over for me and I think it’ll only rise.
Women’s Euro Final:
1st half under 0.5 goals (+150), to win 0.75 units
The tension of a Euro Cup final tends to bring the most stingy defensive effort since neither team can afford to go down early against two of the most skilled offenses in the world. The Germans are on a roll, high in confidence, so if you want to hedge this by going for Germany over 0.5 goals in the 1H (+145) or even over 1.5 goals (+750), I get it. We’ll go with a slow start.
All plays are on a 1-5 unit scale, with 3-5 unit plays being very rare. If you have any questions, please DM me or email me any time before 7:00pm. Thanks team!
