New York Mets @ Washington Nationals (+200) @ 7:05 PM ET
This is a matchup between one of the best pitchers in the NL (Max Scherzer) versus one of the worst pitchers in the NL (Patrick Corbin). As much as I would love to play the Mets here on the RL (-2.5 FG, -1.5 F5), the numbers are just too inflated and don’t hold much value in my opinion. I can’t trust the Mets offense even against a pitcher like Corbin.
What I can trust is that Max Scherzer is going to come out and dominate in this game. In 7 road starts this year Max is averaging 6.19 innings pitched, 1.43 runs against, 4.71 hits against, 8.71 Ks, and 0.85 walks. He’s struck out 7 or more in 6 of 7 of those road starts. The only one he didn’t eclipse that mark was when he only struck out 6 in his first start of the year against these Nationals.
While the Nationals on the year aren’t prone to a ton of strikeouts, only averaging 7 per game, they also haven’t faced a ton of top tier pitching. The lineup from yesterday’s game should be pretty similar for tonight’s game. In that game Pallante shut them out over 8 innings and struck out 8. Pallante is no Scherzer.
This is my most confident play on the card tonight, and may be the only play period.
Take Max Scherzer O6.5 Ks -140 for 2U
