I carry a 118-112-4, +1.94u into tonight and have locked 1 play in. I’ll likely be on another as well. To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group!
*MLB(1u): White Sox F5 TT OVER 2.5(+100) @ Rangers–7:05 PM CT
Rangers SP Cole Ragans will be making his Major League debut in an incredibly tough spot. The White Sox rank 1st in the league with a 133 wRC+ on the road vs left-handed pitching and have mashed lefties each of the past 3 seasons. While Ragans has good overall numbers in the minors, he has had his fair share of struggles with walks. This is not only a major step up in competition, but it’s also a horrible matchup. While the White Sox have been inconsistent this season overall, they have gotten each of their key right-handed bats healthy and back off of the IL and started to get the bats going in their recent home stand.
I would also lean towards the White Sox F5 -0.5 given the Rangers’ poor current form and overall inadequiacies vs right-handed pitching. My only concern is I worry Johnny Cueto is due for some serious regression sooner than later. Cueto’s FIP is a well over 1 run higher than his ERA, and he has scathed by with a left-on-base percentage well over 80%.
I’ll isolate the matchup I feel best about and trust the White Sox offense in this advantageous spot.
*Likely on Cardinals G2 TT OVER 4.5 for 1u
The Cardinals will be playing a double-header today after last night’s game was postponed. Given they face a vulnerable lefty in Game 2 of this twin bill and rank 1st in wRC+ vs lefties at home, I will likely be on their TT tonight. With that said, I’m a huge stickler about not playing the 2nd game of a DH before we see the first. I expect to be on this, but make sure you’re following my Twitter and/or are in my Telegram group to be certain.
