Premiums, 8.11

144

 

HEY – Can I get a LET’s FOOKIN GO!! Another undefeated night, and we’re now 20-4 overall the last 10 days for over 19 units. Which means we’re close to winning back every BS baseball pick we ever gave out this year, sweeeet! One pick added in WNBA and the NFL preseason games are finally here, let’s go!

DISCLAIMER: From today through Sunday, August 14, I will not provide any write-up or explanations for my picks. I’m on vacation, the first one since my wedding over a year ago, and I need to at least attempt to give myself a break from betting.Of course I can’t totally break away, that’s why I’m giving picks and I’m clearly addicted, but removing explanations lessens the time. Thank you.
 
WNBA Picks (26-17-1, +8.90 units):
 
Sky/LVA under 174 (-110), to win 1 unit
Taking a shot here, even though I don’t see much value on the board today. Tough to figure out motivation with the playoffs looming and one of these 4 teams could mail it in. But this sets up to be a pre-playoff battle that feels like a late in-playoff battle. The Sky’s defense was nowhere to be found 2 nights ago and now they could potentially lose the #1 spot. Contentious and testy between two elite teams, I think a lower scoring game is at hand.
CFL Week 10 Picks (16-10, +6.85 units):
 
6.5 Pt Teaser: 
Winnipeg -6.5 (from -13) + under 55 (from 48.5) (-120), to win 2 units (Thursday)
We’ll keep playing on Winnipeg until we see a lapse in their consistency. Even with some sloppiness at times, the Blue Bombers always find a way to put their foots on the gas and go way ahead on either offense, defense, or both. Big plays and smart football keeps this time high above the others in CFL, and Montreal is one of the lowliest teams they’ll face all year. Winnipeg’s stingy defense against Montreal will mean little scoring for the Alhouettes, and idk how motivated the Blue Bombers will be here. Could be a good chance to take things slow and get off the field without injury. Like them by margin but less than 13, and like this game under so let’s grab a teaser!
 
BC Lions/Calgary Stampeders over 52.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units (Saturday)
This line came out high but I expect it to rise even more. BC is on a tear right now and I think the only way Calgary can win this game, and they NEED to win this game to stay in contention in the West, is by scoring at will. Keeping up with the explosive Lions is no easy feat, but these are two of the best offenses in CFL and they both have rather mediocre defenses. Love this to be a scoring competition.
 
Other Leans (these are not official, just leans)
 
Guardians (-155)
 
Astros -1.5
 
Rockies (EVEN)
NFL Preseason Week 1 Picks (0-1, -1.1 units):

Ravens -4 (-110, Preseason Week 1, Aug 11), to win 1.5 units
Well it’s pretty well-documented how good John Harbaugh is in the preseason. In case you didn’t know, he’s 40-12 (77%) straight up in exhibition games and in general, tends to care WAY more about his talent putting in effort and gaining momentum before the regular season begins. At -4, at home, this is a line that should only rise and in reality – take the Ravens.

Giants ML (+105), to win 0.50 units
As an avid reader of all things NY Giants, I can tell you one thing – this team is excited to get on the field. New HC Brian Daboll brings a new regime and new ideas to a NY Giants offense that desperately needs it. Billy Belichik, on the other hand, could probably care less about the game, save for a few good plays from the starters in 1 or 2 drives. Another good way to bet this game is by expecting the Pats to go up early and bet NYG live at a better moneyline price.
Packers/49ers under 32.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
Matt LaFleur has openly said that Aaron Rodgers may not play in the preseason again this year. He definitely won’t play in this one, so get ready for a lot of Jordan Love against a defense that’s primed to be top 5 this year and probably can’t wait to get in some reps. Couple that with Kyle Shanahan, who could care less about the preseason, and I like this game to be slow and defensive.
 
Jaguars ML (-125), to win 1 unit
Jaguars 1Q ML (not out yet, probably -115), to win 1 unit
Nice setup for Jacksonville to get a symbolic win under their new head coach. The Hall of Fame game was blown open from the opening drive where that lofty dumb pass fell in the hands of one of LV’s wide receivers. The Jags didn’t play anyone of value but they’ll need more reps in a new system. Take the Jags early and overall; I think they’ll care way more than the Browns do.