I bring an MLB record of 160-147-6, +5.97u into tonight and will be sticking with 1 play to kick off the week. To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group!
*MLB(1u): Mariners -1.5(+105) vs Rangers–8:40 PM CT
Mariners SP Robbie Ray has been phenomenal at T-Mobile Park this season, bringing a 2.73 ERA and 0.95 WHIP into tonight’s start. For as good as the Rangers have handled lefties at home, that has simply not translated to their road matchups. Since August 1st, Texas holds a measly 63 wRC+ vs lefties on the road, good for 26th in the league over that span.
The Rangers will use Jesus Tinoco as their opener before leaving the bulk of the work to Tyson Miller. Miller has thrown just 6 career innings at the big league level; in AAA this year, he looked anything but impressive(4.52 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 1.4 HR/9). This Mariners offense can be inconsistent, but they have proven to be plenty capable of taking advantage of minor league arms like this.
Not only do the Mariners hold a significant starting pitching advantage, but by nature of having the 2nd best bullpen in baseball that is off a day of rest, they will also hold a massive edge in the later innings. Considering the clear mismatch on the mound, I don’t believe we should be getting this at plus-money.
