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Chargers vs Browns +2 O/U 48
This should be a pretty good game to watch. The Chargers are laying road chalk against a team that has some talent. Last week, the Browns out-gained the Falcons by 70 yards in that loss and their perception went too low due to this. Believe it or not, Cleveland this year rank 7th in offensive EPA compared to the high flying Chargers ranking 11th. On the defensive side of the ball, the Browns do have a glaring weakness against the run, but the Chargers also have that weakness on offense ranking only 27th in rush EPA and 2.7 yards per rush. The Chargers give up 5.4 yards per rushing attempt, and I think that Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will have a field day on Sunday. I also do not like the earlier game for the west coast team. Take the Brownies
Browns +2 – 2 stars
Bengals vs Ravens -3 O/U 48.5
This is a fascinating game because there is a lot of disagreement in the Marketplace on which team is better. I happen to have the opinion that both teams are ranked pretty close, but I have the Bengals slightly better in my power ratings. This handicap has all to do with what the Bengals do well. Baltimore’s key to success is running the ball and the Bengals, last year, were able to slow Lamar and company down the last two matchups allowing less than 116 yards rushing. The Bengals rank 8th in passing yards at 257 per game while Baltimore ranks dead last allowing 315 per game. The Ravens also have a banged up offensive line and linebacking crew. I think that the Bengals cover this and have a chance to win outright
Bengals +3 – 2.5 stars
Teaser: Commanders to +8.5 with the Chiefs to -1 – 2 stars
