CFB Early Premiums, Week 7

194

 

CFB Week 7 Picks ( 25-29-7, -9.51 units):

Marshall -10.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
Marshall is just one of those teams that isn’t very good but easily beats up on conference opponents because they have more talent. Good spot at home to do that against the Ragin Cajuns on Wednesday.
Michigan -6.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
I admit I might just hate Penn State but this is another spot where I don’t think the Nittany Lions can hang with a team like Michigan at home. The Wolverines are growing as the year goes on and a late turnover or big defensive play should be the difference. They learned to take teams more seriously after some scares against MD and others.
Alabama -7 (-114), to win 1.5 units
Alabama/Tennessee under 65 (-105), to win 1 unit
Tennessee 1H +4 or more (-110), to win 1 unit
We haven’t seen a complete game from Alabama’s defense yet but this feels like a good spot. All seems fair until the Crimson Tide come to town and suddenly their athletes are bigger, faster, more explosive than yours. I’ll take the Volunteers early because they’re at home behind a raucous crowd and that’ll pay dividends early. But big plays and defensive stops down the stretch in favor of Bama will be the difference, IMO.
Michigan St +7.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
This is the type of game Wisconsin loses.
LSU +2.5 (-105), to win 1.5 units
The LSU Tigers got completely embarrassed by Tennessee last weekend. It wasn’t a good look and it was a scathing indictment of Brian Kelly’s capabilities as a head football coach. I don’t like the guy so I’m a little biased. Either way, LSU should come out with fury while Florida really doesn’t have a mature enough team, just yet, to overcome the emotion LSU should have in this spot. In the swamp or not, we’ve seen this story before. I’ll probably bet more if it goes to 3.
Stanford +16.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
Way too many points for Notre Dame, who’s improving but not a titan just yet. Things have gone their way a bit.
Utah -3 (-119), to win 1.5 units
This is a really tough spot for USC. THe Trojans haven’t faced much adversity yet this year, ending up on the winning side of a few games that could have gone either way. Utah is off a very disappointing loss and now their playoff hopes are in serious jeopardy. They have nothing to lose in this spot. I like Utah to expose USC’s running game and cover.