NY Giants vs Dallas -9.5 O/U 44.5
I think that Tony Pollard just scored another touchdown. Man did the Cowboys man-handle the Vikings last week. Now they faced a well coached division rival in the 7-3 NY Giants. Why is this a huge spread for both teams late in the season at 7-3? Well, that is because of luck and schedule. The Giants are a very lucky team ranking top 3 in the luck factor and ranking dead last in strength of schedule. The Giant’s best win was against an injured Baltimore team this year, and an overrated Titans team. The Cowboys rank a huge 3rd in defensive EPA while the Giants rank 22nd. The Giants give up a massive 5.3 rushing yards per attempt while the Cowboys average 4.7 themselves on the ground. The G-Men are also a net-negative -.6 yards per play to the Cowboys at +.5, and that is counting the Cooper Rush games as well. Finally, the Giants have cluster injuries now at their receiver positions with their best in WanDale Robinson going out for the season just last week. new York is also very banged up on the offensive line. Take the Cowboys in a snoozer and go eat some Pumpkin Pie!
Cowboys -9.5 – 2 stars
