One More NBA Add, 11.30

391

 

I probably have too many plays. Oh well – one more addition, in red.

Nets/Wiz under 223.5 (-110), to win 1 unit

Nets/Wiz under 226 (-110), to win 1 unit

Massive regression is due for the Wizards and this is a great spot for a burgeoning Nets’ defense to take advantage. Washington’s defense is almost always present, too. I had this total a whole 10 points lower. Doubling down on the new total, which went in the opposite direction of where I thought. I completely disagree with it.
76ers +3.5 (-106), to win 1.5 units
Joel Embiid will play and right now the NBA injury report tells us that Jarrett Allen is out. That’s a big deal. With less rim protection, the Sixers can run their offense through Embiid in the paint. Philadelphia has been surging behind some great all around team effort and although they’ll miss Maxey tonight, they could win this game straight up. Cleveland is regressing a bit too – a bottom third offense the last 5 games.
Suns -5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
Much better spot for the Suns, who play way better defense at home, against a Bulls team that’s in the middle of a long road stretch and it’s about to get harder (next legs are GS and SAC). I had this at -5.5 but with the spot and Chicago’s regression, I’ll still take this for 1.5 units.
Kings -4.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
Kings 1Q -1 (-115), to win 1 unit
The books are smart. I was hoping to get this line closer to 3 but I’ll take it anyway. Really, really tough spot for Indiana smack dab in the middle of an insane 7-game road trip and Sacramento is due to explode and annihilate a team that will feel much easier to produce against than the Suns. Kings blowout.
The Kings are one of the most explosive teams in the NBA early, while the Pacers are dead last in offensive efficiency in the 1st QTR in Nov. They need time to get in rhythm; the Kings won’t need that after some poor performances.
Rockets +11.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
Nuggets are famous for flailing after a dominant win over the same team, and the Rockets nearly covered; it was a late surge that did them in. We’ll take ’em Wednesday.
Parlay: Bucks + Lakers (2 units to win 2.16 units at FanDuel)
Terrible spot for the Blazers after their home loss. They really fizzled out in the 4th QTR. Lebron and AD will be playing tonight and the spot will be too much for Portland. Same thing with the Knicks, who go from facing a low-level team to a championship contender in the Bucks.