Guess we should’ve taken the Pistons last night, eh?
I want to play on the Bucks tonight against LAL, but we’ll hit pause for now. Khris Middleton returns in his first game back so we’ll wait for him to get warmed up and back in rhythm with his team. It’s also a really weird, one-spot home game for Milwaukee and we never like those situations. In any case, we’ll look to play on the Bucks more moving forward. When healthy, the Bucks are our #1 power rated team and they have a very convenient schedule over the next 1-2 weeks.
A few adds below, and we changed our bet on the Warriors early since the first half was -4.5. I’ll take the first QTR instead. Here’s the full list for Friday. LFG!
Wizards -3 (-110), to win 1 unit
There’s not a lot to like about the Hornets right now, whereas the Wizards seem to be growing exponentially as a team. They should be able to shut down Charlotte’s clunky offense, one that’s 30th in its last 5 games, and the Wizards’ offense is blossoming behind some Kuzma-confidence and burgeoning young players. Beal is pretty nice, too. Go Wiz!
Nuggets/Hawks over 231.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
John Collins is OUT tonight for Atlanta and that’s a good thing for over bets. He’s an important piece of their defense and it should afford Denver some better looks. The Hawks have been running with a top 10 tempo and they’re even faster at home, rated #3 in pace on their own floor. I think Atlanta can establish that pace and force Denver to play their brand of basketball, which should mean plenty of points. Two talented offenses battling on a Friday and let’s face it, Denver’s defense is never quite up to par. I have this at 235, like the over.
Raptors +2.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
Beautiful spot for the Raptors, who already lost twice to the Nets, off a big loss. Their responses are typically always really strong and since they’ve fallen to Brooklyn already, this game will be circled. Oh yea, and they’re as healthy as they’ve ever been heading into this matchup. The Nets have talent, we know (eye roll), but they’re soft as fuck. Toronto out-toughens Brooklyn in NYC through a lot of paint points and interior talent.
Grizzlies -5.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
I never like the way Philly matches up against Memphis, even when they’re at full strength. Without Maxey and potentially Tobias Harris, I like them even less. We saw how pedestrian the 76ers can be, particularly on offense, in their Wednesday matchup against the Cavs. The Grizzlies are a top ten net rating team at home in November. They also run faster and tend to be more explosive at home. Philly can go on these runs where they look elite and other runs where they look piss-poor; I think we’re about to see an example of the latter as they sift through injuries. Go Grizz!
Warriors 1Q -2.5 (-110), to the 1.5 units
Warriors -7 (-110), to win 1 unit
The first half line isn’t out yet but hit it when it comes out (prob tomorrow morning). Golden State is really good early, especially at home, and big-time regression is coming for the Bulls, who are on a brutal road stretch right now. This is a great spot for the Warriors to go off and look fantastic after a tough loss to the Mavericks. The Bulls will want this game MUCH less than the Mavericks wanted their win the other night– this should feel easy for the home team. All Warriors for this guy.
