Lions vs Packers -5 O/U 49
Lots can be said about this game being that the Lions will either have a shot at the playoffs by game-time if the Rams beat the Seahawks, or their hopes and dreams will be crushed and the Packers win by one million. Or…. Is Dan Campbell a coach that is going to have his team pissed off to take the sniveling packers out of playoff contention? I think the latter. We know that the Packers have been a good team when they got healthy ripping off four wins in a row, but lets be real. Beating Chicago, the beat up Rams, concussed Miami, and an over-rated Vikings team doesn’t do it for me. When looking at the numbers here, you have to also factor in that the Lions were very banged up earlier in the season as well. Now the Lions have an added weapon in Jameson Williams, which will help pick apart the Packers secondary. The Lions are number six in offensive EPA while the Packers are 12th. Detroit is number 31 in defensive EPA while the Packers are 25h, but over the past 5 weeks, the Lions are up to 25th in defensive EPA. I think the Lions are about equal in strength to this Packers team, and the spread should be 3 at best.
Lions +5 – 3 stars
Parlay: Jaguars -250 with Saints -165 – 2 stars – Jaguars are playing at home against a backup quarterback in Josh Dobbs. The Saints will want to finish the season well after being embarrassed all year.
Teaser: Bengals to -2.5 with the Browns to +8.5 – 2 stars
