NHL Preview & Picks – January 23rd, 2023

We only have four games taking place across the NHL tonight. I’ll break down a few of the matchups and offer my best bets along with a few player props to take a look at.

Game Previews:

Florida Panthers @ New York Rangers

• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Florida Panthers: 23-20-5, 4th Atlantic (11-14-2 Away)
• New York Rangers: 25-14-7, 3rd Metropolitan (11-9-4 Home)

These teams faced off in the beginning of January where the Rangers defeated the Panthers 5-3.

After a slow start to the season, the Panthers have found their groove winning seven of their last ten games. Florida’s offense has been fantastic lately scoring at least four goals in each of their last five games.

The Rangers have won three of their last five games. New York’s offense has been sub-par as of late averaging 2.2 goals during that span. The total has gone under in each of the Rangers last four games overall.

FLA: A. Lyon (2-0-0), 2.55 GAA, .912 SV% [CONFIRMED]

NYR: J. Halak (5-6-1), 2.69 GAA, .901 SV%

Buffalo Sabres @ Dallas Stars

• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• Buffalo Sabres: 23-19-3, 5th Atlantic (12-7-1 Away)
• Dallas Stars: 28-13-7, 1st Central (13-5-3 Home)

These teams faced off in February where the Stars defeated the Sabres 4-2.

Buffalo has won their last two games defeating the Islanders and the Ducks. The Sabres are currenlty five points out of the playoffs with a game in hand on Pittsburgh.

Dallas has won three of their last four games. During that span, they shutout their opponents in each of those wins.

BUF: C. Anderson (7-6-2), 2.78 GAA, .917 SV%

DAL: J. Oettinger (21-7-4), 2.20 GAA, .926 SV% [CONFIRMED]

Pick(s):

• Florida Panthers/ New York Rangers Under 6.5 (+102) – FanDuel
  • Risk 0.25 to win 0.26 Units

Florida’s offense has been great as of late but will face a tough New York Rangers squad tonight that allows the 4th fewest goals against. The Ranger’s haven’t allowed more than three goals against in their last five games. New York’s offense has been sub-par as of late averaging 2.2 goals during that same span. Jaroslav Halak is expected to get the nod tonight who has a 1.00 GAA in his last two games. Alex Lyon has been confirmed for Florida and has been solid as well with a 2.55 GAA and .912 SV% in his two starts.

• Toronto Maple Leafs in Regulation (-140) – DraftKings
  • Risk 0.35 to win 0.25 Units

The Islanders are in a free fall losing eight of their last ten games including their last four. They’ve particularly struggled on the road going 1-7 in their last eight games. Sorokin has allowed at 4/3/4 goals against in his last three starts. Toronto is coming off a disappointing loss to the Canadiens in their last game. The Leaf’s have also been great at home this season going 17-3-4. Their numbers are much better at Scotiabank Arena averaging 3.50 GF/G and 2.38 GA/G compared to their overall numbers of 3.36 GF/G and 2.64 GA/G. I expect the Leafs to rebound at home and knock off the Islanders in Regulation.

Lean(s):

• Dallas Stars in Regulation (-120) – DraftKings
• Calgary Flames 1P -0.5 (-110) – DraftKings

Player Prop(s) to Target:

• Carter Verhaeghe over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+100) – BetRivers
  • Carter Verhaeghe has gone over this number in each of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 4.2 shots on goal and 6.0 shot attempts per game. On the road, he’s recorded over 2.5 SOG in each of his last three. The Rangers rank 8th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 29.1. At home, that number drops slightly to 28.5. They also give up the 12th most shots on goal per game to Left Wingers. In their previous matchup against the Rangers this season, Verhaeghe recorded 4 shots on goal on 5 shot attempts.

• Chris Kreider over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-150) – DraftKings
  • Chris Kreider has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.0 shots on goal and 4.8 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 SOG in each of his last four. The Panthers rank 21st in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 31.9. On the road, that number drops slightly to 31.5. They also give up the 10th most shots on goal per game to Right Wingers. He’s on New York’s top Power Play which should see plenty of action tonight. The Panthers have taken five or more penalties in three of their last five games. Kreider has recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in each of his four previous matchups against the Panthers.

• Jason Robertson over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-143) – Caesars
  • Jason Robertson has gone over this number in three of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 4.4 shots on goal and 6.4 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 3.5 SOG in each of his last three. The Sabres rank 25th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.0. On the road, that number increases to 34.5. They also give up the 10th most shots on goal per game to Left Wingers. He’s on Dallas’ top Power Play which should see some of action tonight. Robertson has recorded over 3.5 shots on goal in one of his two previous matchups against the Sabres.

• Tyler Toffoli over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-143) – Caesars
  • Tyler Toffoli has gone over this number in each of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.4 shots on goal and 5.8 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 SOG in each of his last two. The Blue Jackets rank 31st in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 34.9. On the road, that number increases to 35.2. They also give up the 15th most shots on goal per game to Right Wingers. He’s on New York’s top Power Play which should see plenty of action tonight. The Blue Jackets have taken three or more penalties in three of their last four games. Toffoli has recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in each of his four previous matchups against the Blue Jackets.

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.