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I have not one, but TWO UNIT UPGRADES tonight! Unfortunately the line movement on both has gone against us in CLV, but I still like the positions non-the-less. Just a heads up if you’re putting in the plays now, Jokic is questionable tonight. The line moving up tells me he’s in, but as we know it’s the NBA, do we ever REALLY know?
Washington at Brooklyn +1 (O/U 223 1/2)
The Wizards head to Brooklyn playing back to back nights. Why is that so important you ask? They sport a 7-2 ATS record with ZERO days rest. These guys clearly seem to like it and embrace it, outright winning 6/7 covers and 4 of them by 10+ points. There 0-3 this year vs. Brooklyn, but KD was in all of those games scoring 28, 30 and 39 points. Those losses also came before their recent resurgence, winning 12 of their last 18 games. While covering 6 in a row until there 2nd half collapse last night.
The Wizards looking to get back on stride(harness racing analogy), land a fortunate opponent. Brooklyn comes into this game still figuring things out, which doesn’t look to end anytime soon with the Kyrie drama. They give up over 50% from the field and 43% from three in their last five games. For me, Washington’s defense has been the difference the last 7 weeks. They rank overall in the league, 5th in FG%, 6th in 3 pointers made, 8th in FT attempts and 5th in assists. That shows hard work, determination and discipline on the defensive end. We know this team can score, but if they slow down the Nets could be a long night for Brooklyn!
Wizards -1 (Barstool -112) 2 units
1H: Wizards ML -110 (DraftKings) 1 unit
Atlanta at Denver -7 1/2 (O/U 231 1/2)
Many would say the Hawks are the Hot team right now, they have shot the ball exceptionally well and gotten off to good starts. Atlanta comes off two wins, but neither were that impressive to me. The Suns looked uninspired 3 nights ago, and Utah played as sloppy as you could play last night. Which leads to, Atlanta is playing a back to back, 5 of their last 6 away and there 4th game in 6 days. While there defense was somewhat better in the L2, previous to that teams were shooting the day lights off of them. Averaging a combined 52% shooting in those 7, with some of them north of 52, ouch!
Denver comes into this game, with back to back home victories covering in both. Their record ATS is juicy, as 4.5-7.5 point favorites, they have covered 6 of their last 7. With the lone non cover coming on the road. The Nuggets lead the league in FG%, while averaging 28.8 assists per game and shooting 41.4% from three at home. None of this bodes well for Atlanta. I’m laying the points here with the Nuggets!
Nuggets – 7 1/2 (BetMGM -110) 1.25 units
Looking for the sweep tonight and a big weekend, Good luck to all those tailing!
