3-0 on free plays this week… let’s add to it today! To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group.
*CBB(1u): TCU 1H -3 vs Oklahoma State–1 PM CT
This should be the most telling line of the day. Despite losing 4 straight games(3 came on the road), TCU’s value has actually increased in the betting markets as of late. I agree with that notion, and I also think this is still a good time to “sell high” on Oklahoma State.
Oklahoma State was playing well beyond their capabilities(specifically offensively) for a good 2-3 week stretch, but we saw “sell signs” in a double-digit home loss to Kansas earlier this week. It’s hard to identify a strength with this offense, while it’s very easy to see why they will struggle in this matchup. The Pokes are utterly careless with the basketball, turning the ball over 14 times per game(322nd in America). In addition to being a staunch on-ball defense, TCU forces TO’s at the 16th highest rate in America.
TCU is a pretty one-dimensional offense given their inability to make outside shots, and I’ll concede that Oklahoma State has one of the best 2pt defenses in America. I do think TCU gets stops at will, and given they’re the #1 transition offense in America, I think buckets come a bit easier than you might think in this matchup.
It’ll remain a 1H play out of principle(big number to lay when there’s not a CLEAR edge offensively), but I really like this spot for the Horned Frogs.
