NHL Preview & Picks – February 28th, 2023

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We have ten games taking place across the NHL tonight. I’ll break down my best bet along with a few player props to take a look at.

 

Pick(s):

  • Tampa Bay Lightning in Regulation (-105) – DraftKings

In their last matchup against the Panthers, the Bolts were embarrassed being defeated 7-1. The Lightning are also coming off a brutal loss against the Pittsburgh Penguins on Sunday night. After an early 2-1 lead, Tampa Bay surrendered 6 goals in the 2nd period. Five of those goals came within the last five minutes of the period. Brian Elliot was in net and has been average this season with a +0.4 GSAx. Andrei Vasilevskiy will presumably get the start tonight and is coming shutout performance against the Red Wings. Sergei Bobrovsky who is the expected starter for the Panthers has allowed at least three goals in each of his last four starts. He’s also allowed at least three goals in four of his last five starts against the Lightning. While both of these teams have failed to find any sort of consistency as of late, this seems like a great spot for the Lightning.

 

  • Boston Bruins (-123) – Barstool

The Bruins have now won their last 7 games and are coming off a 3-2 victory against the Edmonton Oilers last night. They’ve been fantastic on this road trip so far outscoring their opponents 12-8. Linus Ullmark, who scored in his last start, has been great allowing two goals or less in each of his last five starts. Jacob Markstrom on the other hand has allowed for goals against in each of his last two starts. He’s also struggled historically against the Bruins allowing 4/3/4/5 in his last four starts against them. Boston has been trending upward in their last ten while Calgary has taken a different direction. Despite Calgary having the advantage in terms of rest, the Bruins are a far superior team and should be able to handle Calgary.

 

Lean(s):

  • Detroit Red Wings (+115) – BetMGM
  • Winnipeg Jets/ Los Angeles Kings Under 6.0 (-110) – PointsBet
  • Seattle Kraken/ St. Louis Blues Over 6.0 (-115) – DraftKings

 

Player Props to Target:

  • Victor Hedman over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-135) – DraftKings
    • Victor Hedman has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 4.0 shots on goal and 7.6 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in four of his last five. The Panthers rank 23rd in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 32.64. On the road, that number drops slightly to 31.52. In his last five games against the Panthers, Hedman has recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in four of those matchups.
  • Aaron Ekblad over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-143) – BetRivers
    • Aaron Ekblad has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 4.0 shots on goal and 5.8 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in each of his last five. The Lightning rank 18th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 31.42. On the road, that number drops slightly to 30.69. Tampa Bay has also given up the 11th most shots on goal per game to Defensemen in their last five games. In his last five games against the Panthers, Ekblad has recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in each of those matchups.
  • Michael Eyssimont over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-155) – DraftKings
    Michael Eyssimont has gone over this number in each of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 4.2 shots on goal and 5.6 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in four of his last five. The Canadiens rank 27th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.66. On the road, that number increases to 35.69. Montreal has also given up the 2nd most shots on goal per game to Left Wingers this year.

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

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