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UNC at Florida St +7.5 (O/U 154.5)
7:00pm Eastern Start
As I have stated in my previous articles, the Tar Heels were on the brink of not making the tournament just last week. Now they have a shot at a 20 win season, hoping to make a deep run in the ACC tournament. First things first, take care of the business in front of them. FSU and Duke. Some may consider this a look ahead spot for UNC, but I don’t believe so and here’s why. They need every win, every scoring margin, every dazzle they can find in them to impress the committee and get into the tournament. It all starts with Florida St in Tallahassee tonight! In my opinion a perfect opponent to run up the score on. As Lester Averman says in Mighty Ducks 2, “They’re bigger! They’re stronger! They’re faster! They’ve got more facial hair!” All of this and more!
FSU does not do much of anything well, 214th in scoring at 70.1 points per game, while giving up 76.5 points per game to boot. Defensively they rank at the bottom in almost every category perceivable. They will most definitely have trouble with UNC’s big men, while giving up 9.2 offensive boards a game, UNC has averaged 11.4 of their own in their L5. This will lead to fouls andddd ONE’S! UNC averages 23 FT’s a game, making 17 of them. Ranking them top 25 in the country in both categories.
FSU won their ‘Super Bowl’ this past Saturday with an unbelievable 25 point come from behind win vs the ultra talented Hurricanes. For a BAD team to pull off a comeback like that, I expect a huge letdown heading into tonight’s contest. UNC scored 94 on these Seminoles just two weeks ago, and I could see that happening again tonight.
BUCK THE TRENDS, all those trends I had mentioned in a previous article, forget them quick! Tar Heels are 1-9 ATS on the road, forget it! Tar heels are 2-14 ATS at night, what did I say? The preparation is different, well it might be, but not tonight! Forget it! This will be a rare 3 unit play for me on the Tar Heels laying the points! Cheers to a blowout.
UNC -7.5 (FanDuel -110) 3 units
Bonus Play
NBA: Boston-New York over 223.5 (Caesars -110) 0.75 unit
For anyone tailing, good luck and lets bring these home.
