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Our week started out with a BANG, with our 3 unit CRUSH last night!
+25.35 units on the month! Let’s continue to build.
Arkansas at Tennessee -5.5 (O/U 133.5) 9:00pm ET
The 12th ranked Tennessee Volunteers will look to improve their resume Tuesday night, and having any kind of let down after trouncing South Carolina this past weekend will not improve those chances. Turn the clocks back to February 4th, they were ranked 2nd in the country with their sights set on a #1 seed! Since then have lost 4 of 6, and currently a 3 seed according to Joe Lunardi’s projections. Two of those 4 losses came by 1 point as double digit favorites in both, yet somehow they turned it on and beat an explosive Alabama squad the game after.
While the Razorbacks shoot at a high %(less on the road) and have shown they have real talent, they haven’t faced a defense like the Vols. They force 15.4 TO’s per game, and hold teams to astoundingly low shooting %’s. At 35.9 FG%, which drops to 33.3% at home, as well as leading the country in 3pt% against at 18.9%. The Razorbacks already rank 305th in the country in 3pt%, not a good combination! The Vols aggressiveness defensively, unfortunately can lead to quite a few fouls, which leads to FT’s. In their last two losses, they have fouled 24+ in each, and given up 35+ FT attempts in each. Luckily for them, Arkansas has shot 65.7% from the line in their L5.
Tennessee averages over 11 rebounds a game, and 20.3 assists per game at home in their L5. With their overall shooting % going up 3.3% at home. All this will be needed vs this Razorback team. The Vols are 6-2 ATS at home off a win, while the Hogs are 0-3 ATS off a loss on the road. Tennessee likes playing at home and ironically likes playing at night. They’re 10-5 ATS at home, opposed to 3-6 on the road. At night they’re 13-7 ATS, as opposed to 2-7 during the day.
All that said this will be a strong UNIT UPGRADE for me on the Vols tonight!
Tennessee -5.5 (BetMGM -115) 2 units
Minnesota at LA Clippers -6.5 (O/U 232.5) 10:00pm ET
Minnesota continues their road trip down to Southern California to take on the Clippers. The T’Wolves are 0-2 after the all-star break, and are currently on a 3 game losing streak. In those three games they have scored a dreadful, 17, 17 and 19 points in the 4th quarter. All games that were most definitely winnable. They blew a big lead vs Washington before the break, then lost a 20 win Charlotte squad and continued vs a Curry-less Golden State team with Naz Reid scoring a career high 30 points, only to fall short again. Up and coming future star Anthony Edwards hasn’t played well as of recently either, shooting 26% vs the Warriors, while committing an average of 5 turnovers per game in his L3, and now has to face a defense looking to buckle down.
These teams have split the season series 1-1, with each team winning in their respective buildings. The T’Wolves won their meeting by 13 points, but the Clippers were without Paul George, Kawai Leonard and obviously Westbrook. None of this bodes well for Minnesota, since this is a completely different LAC squad that can turn it on defensively. With Zubac most likely coming back Tuesday night as well, only adds more challenges for Minnesota offensively.
I will be laying the points with the Clippers tonight out West, looking to bounce back after two OT losses, with a small UNIT UPGRADE.
Clippers -6.5 (BetMGM -110) 1.25 units
Let’s end February strong!
For anyone tailing, good luck and lets bring these home.
