Alan Cashman’s Saturday College Football Pick: Minnesota at Wisconsin

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Alan Cashman

https://twitter.com/TheCashManWins

Saturday

CFB

Minnesota at Wisconsin

Pick: Wisconsin -10/Lean (bought ½ from -10.5)

Analytics Agree: Unanimous

 

All 5 of my Analytics that I compare info with agree with this projected outcome.

Minnesota is averaging 21 ppg and allowing 45 ppg on the road this season while Wisconsin scores 36.8 and allows 17 ppg at home.

Minnesota has been a good team at home but on the road, they have not performed well with the most recent loss being a 55-31 loss at Illinois.  They have road losses to Nebraska 53-28, Ohio St 30-14, and Maryland 42-13. The Gophers allow over 300 ypg on the ground on the road while Wisconsin gains around 316 on the ground at home.

Wisconsin is 1-5 ATS at home but those spreads were -29 vs Rutgers, -18 vs Nebraska, -23.5 vs BYU and -35.5 vs New Mexico.  The Badgers covered -10 in all of those games with exception of the early season loss to BYU.

Minnesota should not be able to stop Wisconsin on the ground and expecting a double digit win at home for the Badgers.

Wisconsin has won last 8 meetings by 10 or more points.

-MIN-1-6-1 ATS last 8 road games

-MIN 3-7 ATS last 10 conference games