Two Teams Trending in the Wrong Direction Square OFF
What was once the hottest team in baseball and quite possibly “America’s Team”, has come to a halt! Currently losers of 6 straight, while giving up 60 runs in those 6 games. Yes, 60 I know. Granted 36 were in two games, still jaw dropping, nonetheless. The bad news for Reds starter Brandon Williamson other than having a 4.85 ERA and a 5.72 xERA, the Marlins clobber lefties. Hitting .303 vs them in 2023. Williamson also ranks at the bottom of the league in xBA, xSLG and xERA/xOBA. Pitching has continued to be a problem for them all season and I don’t see it being any different Monday night. Texas will now square off in a new series versus a team WITH pitching, not a good combo. On the mound for Miami is young rookie phenom, Eury Perez. Who is already being compared by the experts to some great pitchers! Home is where the heart is for him, but is it? His away splits can be slightly misleading, remove his disaster of a start vs Atlanta before the break and he only has 3 away starts of the 11. Oh, and one of the three was at Coors Field, where he did not give up a home run and was his first TRUE away start. Another stat I found intriguing, RISP are batting .106 against him. That’s only 5 hits in 47 AB’s!
Now why have we not seen him in the majors in over a month? Quite simply to monitor his innings. The Marlins optioned him back to the minor leagues on July 7. Prior to this season, Perez had never thrown more than 78 innings in a season with the organization. After his July 6th start, he was already at 84 1/3 total innings between MLB and the minor-leagues. He’s now fresh, more confident than ever and should be the burst this Marlins squad needs. Losers of 15 of 20 since the break and come into this game losing 6/7 and four straights, yet still sit half a game outside the wild card.
Due to the Marlins struggles and being on the road, I was hoping we would get plus money on them. The fact they opened as favorites (-125) and will go off as favorites on the road (currently -152) is all I need to know. Let’s back Eury and the Marlins with a unit upgrade!
Marlins ML -126 (FanDuel) risk 1.89u to win 1.5u
Mu customers got this number in at -126, tremendous closing line value. As well as 3 other premium plays that are also getting great CLV. If you’re looking to sign-up for all my premium plays, click the link below to get involved. Be sure to apply for the promocode Football2023 for 50% off! That’s only $50 for 30+ days’ worth of picks. You do the math, very little per day. Also be sure to follow me on Twitter @TrustRocco.
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