We have arrived at the first few days of Pre-Season action which means real NFL games are just around the corner. I’ve put together 9 preview articles that will break down the season win predictions for every team in football, and then look to the playoffs and what teams have value in the futures. I have gone through the entire schedule game by game and have found some great values on season win totals. I’ll highlight my top plays along the way and get you my picks division by division.
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NFC West
2022 Records
San Francisco 13-4/ Seattle 9-8/ Los Angeles Rams 5-12/ Arizona 4-13
San Francisco – Brock Purdy? Trey Lance? Sam Darnold? If it’s anything like past seasons it will be whoever is healthy, and I would think Lance gets first crack it with Purdy still working his way back from injury. Whichever QB ends up going will have plenty of weapons at his disposal. With Christian McCaffrey still in his prime in the backfield and Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle to catch passes this offense should be dynamic. On defense, there are stars at every level led by Nick Bosa and Javon Hargrave up front. The biggest loss for this team however could be Demeco Ryans leaving his DC spot to takeover as head coach in Houston. The good news for the 49ers is they get to play against what I believe will be one of the weakest overall divisions in football and should cruise to another division title. Vegas Win Projection: 10.5 Juiced Over -150, Under +120
Seattle – This team really came out of nowhere last year with the revival of Geno Smith. Maybe Revival is wrong word, Arrival may be more appropriate. The rest of the 2022 resurgence was led by Seattle’s rookie class which was one of the best in recent NFL history. Tackles in Charles Cross and Abraham Lucas opened holes for Kenneth Walker III, Tariq Woolen was a great corner, and Coby Byrant also played bigtime roles. And if anyone thinks Pete Carroll forgot how to coach for a few years, I would certainly beg to differ. This year they grabbed the best corner in the draft in Devon Witherspoon, and plenty of depth. They also added a big time WR threat to pair up with DK Metcalf in Jaxson Smith-Njigba. They also overhauled the front seven on defense through free agency and should see some nice improvements there. Vegas Win Projection: 8.5 Juiced to the over at -165, Under +135
Los Angeles Rams – This team is two years removed from a Super Bowl win, and they certainly cashed in all their chips to get it. This team is a mess from a GM perspective. They have 72.2 Million in dead cap space. They had very few draft picks that look like they’ll make an impact due to the Stafford trade, and they actually may have the worst overall defense in the NFL. Jalen Ramsey is gone and Aaron Donald is still elite, but he is entering the twilight of his career. Kupp and Stafford are really the only top notch players on offense, and if something happens to either one it will be a disaster in Socal. If someone got hurt I’d bet it’s Stafford as this offensive line is not built to protect a 35 year old pocket passer who already has taken 44 sacks in his career. If he and the rest of the offense stays healthy however this team will have a fighting chance in every game. Vegas Win Projection: 6.5 Even at -110 Both sides
Arizona – There’s a new GM and head coach in the desert and they will have their hands full. Losing J.J. Watt and releasing Deandre Hopkins puts their star power at minimal levels. This defense was already terrible last year and the rebuild is ready to get started. They invested early in offensive and defensive line help in the draft and added lots of depth through free agency although no real impact pieces so both units will still struggle. I’d expect Kyler Murray to be on the PUP list to start the season, and if he struggles upon his return I could see the Cardinals looking to move on based on his guaranteed salary and cap hits if he’s on the roster in 2024. With them trading down in the draft this year they could have the ammo to get a top QB in next years draft. I think they play this year as a lost year and build up ammo for a full rebuild in 2024. Vegas Win Prediction: 4.5 Juiced Even at -110 Both Sides
2023 Predictions
San Francisco 12-5
Seattle 9-8
Los Angeles Rams 8-9
Arizona Cardinals 4-13
NFC West Action:
San Francisco – Lean Over. This would normally be a play for me, but I don’t trust the QB situation and if it’s Lance or Darnold my numbers wouldn’t like it.
Seattle – Lean Over – This number has too much juice now, it opened much closer to even. If anyone if going to make some noise here it’s Seattle, but I could still see them landing with 8 wins.
Los Angeles Rams – Over 6.5 Wins 1 Unit. My number says to play this here, as much as my eye test says don’t. This team was 3-6 with Stafford starting last year and the schedule is easier this year. If he finds a way to stay healthy they’ll get to 7.
Arizone – Lean Under. They’re toast, and with a new GM and Coach they wanna get their own guys in here for 2024.
