Coming off a nice 8-4-1 College Football day yesterday!
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Pittsburgh vs Cleveland -2.5 O/U 33
Sharp money has pushed this line up from PK to -2.5 here. I think it’s quite obvious to the well rounded sports bettor that the Steelers have massively over-achieved being 6-3 and out-gained in every game. They definitely have some clutch to them, but I think that this is the spot that their luck runs out. DeShawn Watson is out for this game, but it really doesn’t affect the handicap all that much. The Steelers lost two key inside linebackers in Minkah Fitzpatrick and they will have some serious struggles stopping the run. Pittsburgh already has issues in the run game allowing 4.5 yards per attempt ranking 26th in the nation. The Browns are a solid rushing team ranking 12th in yards per attempt. As far as defense is concerned the Browns rank number one in EPA per play while the Steelers rank 10th. Both offenses are pretty closely ranked and much of these numbers are already baked in with Watson being out most of the season. If rookie quarterback Dorian Thompston-Robinson can protect the ball, I think that they should be able to game plan their way to an easy victory here. Take the value below the three.
Browns -2.5 – 2 stars
Teaser: Packers to +9 with the Bills to -1 – 3 stars. I think the Packers can hang at home with the Bolts. I only have about 2.5 points different between the teams. The Bills are in a win or die situation.
