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Astros vs Tigers +122 O/U 8
A Mize man once told me, when you have the data, it’s time to start fading the narratives. Was the Astros a good team? yes, but they certainly are not right now. Houston only ranks 15th in total runs this year and their pitching has taken a huge break. Casey Mize takes the helm for the Tigers at home with a 3.98 ERA but a nice 3.23 FIP. Casey isn’t much of a strikeout pitcher, but he does get the batter to hit a lot of ground balls at 47.7%. I like some of his adjustments. The Astros on the other hand has Framber Valdez at the helm who has been less than steller this year with a 3.97 ERA and a 3.96 FIP. Framber is also a ground ball pitcher and will try to get this one on the road. Now the advantage in hitting goes to Houston here for sure, but I like the bullpen advantage for the Tigers ranking 14th in FIP to Houston ranking 26th. I also like the fact that this team is well rested at home. Houston is coming off of a win at the Yankees where they had to stop a sweep. I think that the Tigers coming off of a loss vs Cleveland will be more than ready for this game.
Tigers +122 – 1 star
